ADAPTING TO CLIMATE CHANGE MIDWEST NORTHE NORTHEAT fisheries. [2] NOAA (2013). Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment. “But the impact of man’s activities in causing that are being really overblown,” Hughes said. Future Tense Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment, J. M. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) Click the image to view a larger version.The Great Lakes border many Midwestern states and are important for drinking water, transportation, commerce, and recreation. Climate change is contributing to heavy rains that strain a drainage system left over from long-closed mines. [6] US EPA (2012). Great Lakes: Basic Information. [5] Changes in the Great Lakes are less clear, but water level decline may force reductions in the weight of cargo shipments and diminish the usability of coastal infrastructure, such as docks and piers. You can cancel anytime. The Nature Conservancy brought together climate experts in Iowa Wednesday for the first of a three-part series on the long-term weather trends that are critically important for agriculture across the Midwest, while specifically covering data from Iowa. The Midwest’s agricultural lands, forests, Great Lakes, industrial activities, and cities are all vulnerable to climate variability and climate change.  Projections of future precipitation indicate that heavy downpours are likely to occur primarily in winter and spring months while summers will become drier, especially in the southern portion of the region. But even if Kharbanda and his colleagues can’t say climate change in the Midwest, they can still deal with it. On average, the US is 2 degrees F warmer than it was 40 years ago. Midwestern temperatures are expected to continue rising. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment, J. M. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) [8] The habitat of many fish species may also be degraded by harmful algal blooms, coastal erosion and flooding, and pollution runoff.[1]. Cambridge University Press, New York, NY, USA. Another set of lawmakers automatically associate the [term] with government overreach, higher energy prices, and misguided subsidies.”. [1] Southern states will also experience more hot days, with a greater number of days over 95°F and fewer days below 65°F, which could lead to greater energy demand for air conditioning.[1]. Slate, [1] Some climate-related impacts may provide short-term benefits for agriculture, but negative effects are also expected in this time frame. Midwest. Currently, these same communities are underserved when it comes to transportation options, even though nationwide, according to the American Public Transportation Association, about 60 percent of mass transit riders are people of color. Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. These projected changes pose challenges to communities as … EPA Region 5 (including the Midwest states of IL, IN, MI, MN, OH, and WI), EPA Region 7 (including the Midwest states of IA and MO), EPA, The Great Lakes Restoration Initiative, IPCC Working Group II: North America (2014), USGCRP Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States: Midwest, NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ch. It’s all one subject matter.” One way to close the gap, community advocates told us, is to include local residents in the design process upfront, whether the policies are focused on cutting emissions, growing jobs, or improving resilience. 2013a,Kunkel et al. 10: Energy, Water, and Land). Southwest. Drought will make water more expensive, which will likely affect the cost of raw materials … In contrast, moose may become physiologically stressed in response to warming, and increasing deer populations spreading disease … United States Department of Commerce. “The United States is not losing the climate change conversation on the coasts,” said Rolf Nordstrom, CEO of the Great Plains Institute. You’ve run out of free articles. Indeed, there’s a downside risk of being too pragmatic and too polite, of letting uncomfortable or unscientific views go unchallenged, supposedly in the name of local culture. At the national level, a center-out strategy should follow two tracks. The study would have cost $250,000. According to the most recent U.S. National Climate Assessment, released by the Trump administration in 2018, climate change will mean increases in extreme heat, humidity, soil erosion, rainfall… Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment, J. M. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) My conversation with Hughes was one of a series that New America’s Resource Security team engaged in over the past year with a variety of people around the country who work on climate-related issues every day. But rainfall during the four wettest days of the year has increased about 35 percent. Three states in the region have greenhouse gas emissions targets (Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota), all states in the region except Nebraska have some form of a state electricity portfolio standard, and Minnesota and Missouri have alternative fuel standards, according to the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions. More than a quarter of the U.S. population is expected to deal with sub-zero temperatures this week. Most of the state has warmed two to three degrees (F) in the last century. “The Midwest may actually experience migration into the region because of climate change,” Maria Carmen Lemos, a Midwest chapter author … Tom Linebarger, CEO of the Indiana-based Fortune 500 company Cummins, said that he takes climate change seriously, both for moral reasons and as a matter of good business. They share information with him about “changes they see in rain and crops, or in the spread of pests,” and in turn, he helps them “understand the context within which those changes are happening.” Fike says that this kind of dialogue creates a “shared understanding, as opposed to science talking down to the public.”. Impacts are already being felt in the forests, in agriculture, in the Great Lakes and in our urban centers,” said Scavia, director of the Graham Sustainability Institute and special counsel to the U-M president on sustainability issues. Presentation by Dr. Dan Vimont for the Climate Change and Midwest Agriculture: Impacts, Challenges, & Opportunities workshop held by the USDA Midwest Climate H… Slate relies on advertising to support our journalism. Midwestern temperatures are expected to continue rising. Climate change will also exacerbate a range of risks to the Great Lakes. Climate change and its impacts across the globe will threaten the bottom line of businesses in a variety of ways. Despite unknown climate impacts, irrigated agriculture is expanding in the Midwest United States, where unconfined aquifers provide groundwater to support crop production on coarse soils. Climate change projections in the Midwest predict warming temperatures, an increase in the freeze‐free season, and more frequent and intense precipitation, with increased precipitation in spring and winter and decreased precipitation in summer (Kunkel et al. Source: USGCRP (2009). Any center-out strategy has to take that disparity into account, and that can be a win-win proposition. The growing risks of dangerously hot weather Climate Change Concern and Prioritization in Rural Communities. The Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Midwest series shows that without strong action to reduce heat-trapping emissions, midwestern states could face dramatic changes including increases in the … [1][7], Warmer temperatures, especially extreme heat, stress livestock animals and cause declines in meat, milk, and egg production. All rights reserved. Global Change Research Program, Climate Change in the Midwest examines the known effects and relationships of climate change variables on the eight states that make up the region. Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Midwest flood damage in recent years has elicited debate among citizens, city and regional planners, and state and federal government officials on the role of changing climate conditions, and one aspect of the discussion is whether rebuilding should encompass an additional goal of adapting flood protection measures to withstand higher frequency and greater severity of floods under the anticipation of … Can We Convince the Sleeping Brain to Process Our Problems? 9: Human Health. Warmer temperatures and changes in precipitation could increase the risk of exposure to diseases carried by insects and rodents. In the Midwest, climate change is expected to negatively affect human health in a variety of ways and exacerbate existing health challenges. Precipitation is greatest in the eastern part of the Midwest and less towards the west. Farmers in the Midwest are already feeling the effects of climate change. However, observational studies of irrigation-induced climate change are lacking in temperate, humid regions throughout North America and Europe. Climate of the Midwest. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 142-3. [1] The rate of increase in temperature has accelerated in recent decades, particularly nighttime and winter temperatures. Climate change may intensify other stresses on urban dwellers and vegetation, including increased atmospheric pollution, heat island effects, a highly variable water cycle, and frequent exposure to new pests and diseases. . When writing about climate change, scientists are often challenged with focusing on either specific academic audiences or more general readers. is a partnership of May 30, 2019. AP Photo/Nati Harnik. Climate change projections in the Midwest predict warming temperatures, an increase in the freeze‐free season, and more frequent and intense precipitation, with increased precipitation in spring and winter and decreased precipitation in summer (Kunkel et al. So it’s likely that derechos will shift poleward in a warming world, too. The impacts of climate change are real and profound for our most basic industry: food. United States Environmental Protection Agency, Projected change in summer temperatures under different warming scenarios. So, while local solutions and perceptions are the key to success with climate change, the Midwest, like other regions, can’t always be left to its own devices. On Wednesday, Dec. 2, at noon Eastern, Future Tense will host Heat Map: A Climate of Change in America, an online event about how the next president can fight climate change by working with local officials making decisions every day. [7] Diseases may increase as temperature and moisture conditions become more favorable for disease spread and range expansion. Increased exposure to allergens caused by the lengthening of the pollen season is also expected to negatively impact human health.[1]. These transit and environmental inequities are tied to the systemic racism that has provoked unrest in Midwestern cities, such as Minneapolis and Kenosha, Wisconsin. 18: Midwest. Contact Us to ask a question, provide feedback, or report a problem. Difficult to plant. Judging. “We have to be very thoughtful about how we talk about climate change,” said Jesse Kharbanda, executive director of the Hoosier Environmental Council. In 2019, it accounted for almost half of all farm income in the United States, generating $162 billion. Extreme heat, heavy downpours and flooding will affect infrastructure, health, agriculture, forestry, transportation, air and water quality, and more. Natural ecosystems in the Midwest are being altered by the combined effects of climate change, land-use change, and an influx of invasive species. Increases are expected in both the number of days over 95°F (top right) and the number of days over 65°F (bottom right), when air conditioning may be needed. Yields of both crops could also be affected by an increase in disease-causing pathogens and delayed planting resulting from greater spring precipitation. When it comes to cutting greenhouse gases, however, what works for San Francisco or New York City is not necessarily going to fly in the middle of the country. Climate change is an increasing concern for wildlife managers across the United States and Canada. Direct effects of increased heat stress, flooding, drought, and late spring freezes on natural and managed ecosystems may be multiplied by changes in pests and disease prevalence, increased competition from non-native or opportunistic native species, ecosystem disturbances, land-use change, landscape fragmentation, atmospheric pollutants, a… . CHICAGO — With the Earth on track to finish out another year among the warmest on record and the impact of climate change mounting around the globe, advocates around the Great Lakes are looking ahead to what a new administration could mean for the Midwest, the region containing one of the world’s largest freshwater sources. In the Great Lakes and smaller lakes in the Midwest region, increased temperatures are likely to affect fish species. The Climate Stories Contest is an art competition that calls upon students to tell the story of climate … that examines emerging technologies, public policy, and society. The 2019 bomb cyclone cost the state $1.3 billion. It matters not only to have “a seat at the table,” said Shalini Gupta, a Minneapolis-based health and environment expert, but also to have the right data and information “to be able to engage in these very technical spaces.”. 2/5/2020 . … We need a center-out strategy.” A strategy, in other words, that starts at the country’s core, calibrating to what works there, and then carries out to other parts of the country, customizing as it goes. 2013b; Pryor et al. In the Midwest, climate change is expected to negatively affect human health in a variety of ways and exacerbate existing health challenges. Because climate change may alter populations and harvest dynamics of key species in the region, midwestern states have identified the effects of climate change on ungulates as a priority research area. Higher average annual temperatures … Hughes, the farmer and state politician, practices no-till cultivation and other carbon sequestration techniques that also improve soil conditions and water retention, even though he doesn’t believe human activity causes climate change. If the rate of emissions is lowered, however, projections show the changes will be significantly less. [1] Forests are threatened by more frequent droughts, wildfires, and insect outbreaks. What’s more certain, NOAA states, is that climate change is causing the jetstream to move toward the pole. That could mean higher food prices or empty shelves not just in other parts of the United States, but around the world. [1] Local governments may invest in new infrastructure to prevent contamination and protect water resources. Rising temperatures also diminish winter ice cover, which may leave shores more vulnerable to waves, increase erosion and flooding, and damage fish habitat and property. . With all of that manufacturing and agriculture come greenhouse gases; the Midwest produces  one-quarter of the country’s emissions. [2], The Midwest has gotten warmer, with average annual temperatures increasing over the last several decades. Global Change Research Program, 418-440.Â. Two Weather Systems Could Bring Rain or Snow to Midwest, East and Northwest . Soybeans may increase in yield early in the century because of the elevated carbon dioxide, but added stress due to increasing temperature is expected to offset this benefit later. And while the Midwest is maybe not quite the manufacturing powerhouse it once was, it still produces most of the cars and auto parts made in the United States, among other goods. If the rate of emissions is lowered, however, projections show the changes will be significantly less. The Midwestern states rank among the lowest, for example, in percent of the population that reports regularly wearing masks and have some of the highest coronavirus infection rates in the country. Corn yields decline as temperatures warm because of a shortening of the reproductive development period. [1] Warming waters are expected to reduce the abundance of many coldwater species, including brook trout, lake trout, and whitefish. And you'll never see this message again. David Fike is one of those Midwestern scientists (from Washington University in St. Louis), and he reports that he does, indeed, work collaboratively with farmers around the state. A center-out strategy speaks to the Midwest’s particular character—and its economic importance. As climate change bites in America’s midwest, farmers are desperate to ring the alarm Richard Oswald stands in a frozen puddle surrounded by unharvested corn. Temperature increase in the Midwest has accelerated in recent decades, particularly nighttime and winter temperatures. [4] USGCRP (2014). Luber, G., K. Knowlton, J. Balbus, H. Frumkin, M. Hayden, J. Hess, M. McGeehin, N. Sheats, L. Backer, C. B. . Most of the Midwest’s population lives in urban environments. Published: November 16th, 2011; WHAT WE KNOW . That preference for local flavor can extend to education. [1] However, less ice cover could benefit commerce if the shipping season lengthens. Heat stress is likely to increase in the future as a result of continued rises in temperatures and humidity in this region, resulting in more heat-related deaths and illnesses.Air quality is already poor in parts of the Midwest an… “Since I can remember,” said Hughes, a serious, bespectacled man in his mid-60s, “the weather has always been paramount in our family and our livelihood.” That weather has been causing a great deal of trouble for Nebraska farmers of late, with drought conditions this year and a record-setting “bomb cyclone” in the eastern part of the state in late 2019. The contributors are among the best in their field. This figure shows the average maximum ice coverage by decade between 1963 and 2013. By Dan Gearino, InsideClimate News. 5: Transportation. The majority of rural voters in both the national and midwestern samples were concerned about climate change, but generally felt that addressing climate change was less important than did Americans in urban and suburban areas. Major heat waves have been occurring more frequently across this region for many decades, resulting in increased deaths during these extreme events. Increases are expected in both the number of days over 95°F (top right) and the number of days over 65°F (bottom right), when air conditioning may be needed. The Great Lakes play a central role in the Midwest, where they provide an abundant freshwater resource for water supplies, industry, shipping, fishing, and recreation, as well as a rich and diverse ecosystem. [1][7], Increased carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere can stimulate crop production, and warmer temperatures lengthen the growing season. For example, in 2019 some areas saw between 200-600 percent the historical normal amount of precipitation. “I’m very protective of my environment because that’s where my living comes from,” he said, adding that local solutions and “problem solving on the ground seems a better fit with Nebraska.”. “Some lawmakers embrace the American scientific consensus and see the term as strictly a scientific one. First Place: $1,500; Second Place: $1,000 Climate reporter. One of the first signs of change is likely to come with the rejoining of the Paris climate accord, which aims to curb warming below 2 degrees Celsius … Some of these areas, already among the … December 28, 2020. Third edition.Â. Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Climate change will tend to amplify existing risks climate poses to people, ecosystems, and infrastructure. “One reason that previous attempts at federal climate policy have faltered is in part because we have not managed to galvanize the middle of the country. Many communities N The Midwest is projected to experience higher temperatures, increased precipitation, and more frequent and intense storms. These changes will likely be beneficial to white‐tailed deer, and the species is projected to … Karl, T.R., J. M. Melillo, and T. C. Peterson (eds.). The Midwest is characterized by a rich diversity of native species juxtaposed on one of the world’s most productive agricultural systems. Major heat waves have been occurring more frequently across this region for many decades, resulting in increased deaths during these extreme events. Yet environmental advocates in the Midwest say they can’t even use the term climate change if they want to work with state legislatures. 2013a,Kunkel et al. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment. And while he engages in farming practices that are good for both the environment and his farm, in July, he helped kill a bill to study the risks of climate change in Nebraska. Click the image to view a larger version.For more information on climate change impacts on human health, please visit the Human Health Impacts page. Many communities N The Midwest is projected to experience higher temperatures, increased precipitation, and more frequent and intense storms. The region is a global breadbasket, the source of most of America’s amber waves of grain, as well as soybeans and other staple crops. Between 1900 and 2010, the average air temperature increased by more than 1.5°F. Gene Takle, professor … [3] US EPA (2014). Climate change indicators in the United States, 2014. According to the World Resources Institute, emissions across the Midwest declined by almost 17 percent between 2005 and 2017, even as the regional economy grew by 11 percent, thanks to advances in technology, innovative state and local policies, and favorable market conditions. Arizona State University 6: Agriculture. Cutting emissions from transportation, for example, means increasing mass transit options, which in turn benefits disadvantaged communities. As climate change bites in America’s midwest, farmers are desperate to ring the alarm Richard Oswald stands in a frozen puddle surrounded by … Global Change Research Program, 150-174.Â. 35, 36, 37 The combined effects of climate change, land-use change, and increasing numbers of invasive species are the primary threats … Midwest. This extreme precipitation and historic flooding in the region was the primary reason that farmers across the nation were prevented from planting nearly 20 million acres of insurable crops , setting a new record. Climate change in Ohio is of concern due to its impacts on the environment, people, and economy of Ohio. Like the American public as a whole, the level Megan Schilling. It is such a case with Climate Change in the Midwest. 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